Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.058646 0.068471 0.079412 0.092496 0.107716 0.124867 0.145662
2025-10-12 0.043865 0.056813 0.072756 0.093822 0.120931 0.154656 0.199833
2025-10-19 0.034928 0.048973 0.067645 0.094272 0.131274 0.180907 0.252629
2025-10-26 0.029296 0.043843 0.064441 0.095708 0.141983 0.208002 0.309504
2025-11-02 0.025578 0.040495 0.062796 0.098526 0.154356 0.238346 0.374556
2025-11-09 0.021325 0.035510 0.057775 0.095212 0.156622 0.253494 0.418270
2025-11-16 0.018564 0.032365 0.055010 0.094795 0.163003 0.275334 0.474856
2025-11-23 0.016230 0.029526 0.052256 0.093846 0.168119 0.295404 0.530715
2025-11-30 0.014727 0.027875 0.051228 0.095607 0.177927 0.324320 0.605207
2025-12-07 0.013047 0.025641 0.048831 0.094508 0.182332 0.344067 0.665482
2025-12-14 0.011424 0.023268 0.045840 0.091839 0.183353 0.357570 0.715532
2025-12-21 0.010051 0.021182 0.043102 0.089248 0.184090 0.370442 0.765700
2025-12-28 0.009350 0.020381 0.042823 0.091614 0.195175 0.405128 0.864666
2026-01-04 0.008565 0.019297 0.041832 0.092392 0.203129 0.434585 0.956948
2026-01-11 0.007834 0.018223 0.040716 0.092733 0.210167 0.462943 1.050521
2026-01-18 0.007272 0.017443 0.040123 0.094125 0.219649 0.497585 1.162253
2026-01-25 0.006868 0.016970 0.040142 0.096893 0.232561 0.541245 1.299896
2026-02-01 0.006098 0.015512 0.037720 0.093634 0.231037 0.552139 1.362776
2026-02-08 0.005595 0.014639 0.036554 0.093223 0.236236 0.579160 1.467557
2026-02-15 0.005116 0.013756 0.035249 0.092290 0.240012 0.603213 1.568091
2026-02-22 0.004827 0.013326 0.035012 0.094021 0.250704 0.645345 1.719458
2026-03-01 0.004424 0.012537 0.033757 0.092940 0.253987 0.669358 1.827129
2026-03-08 0.003992 0.011605 0.032010 0.090316 0.252839 0.681887 1.906043